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All is well. Ame...Don't worry you mere commoners!!! All is well. America's elite class will not suffer in the slightest.<BR/>The truly wealthy could lose 90 percent or more of their assets and still continue their lofty life styles.<BR/><BR/>Only you peons, you underlings, you willing servents of your economic masters, will suffer in any way.<BR/><BR/>Just obay. It is your patriotic duty.<BR/><BR/>Be aware, though, that a typical method used by the elite class is to create or focus upon an external enemy to take the masses' minds off internal problems.<BR/><BR/>It is conceivable that the elite's figurehead, their lackey the idiotic bumbling brain-addled GW Bush followed advice whispered to him by his betters who knew the current economic problems would likely arise and commenced the Iraq war to pave the way for war with Iran.<BR/><BR/>If economic conditions worsen expect the federal government, owned and operated by an elite class, BIG corporations and wealthy/powerful dpecial-interest groups to commence military activities against Iran or possibly another country to take your mind off America's internal problems.<BR/><BR/>Whatever happens, just be patriotic and obey your masters.<BR/><BR/>And, smile as your wealth approaches zero knowing that the truly important folks within the USA are doing well, your elite class masters.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-25789920874449736762008-04-03T09:19:00.000-04:002008-04-03T09:19:00.000-04:00So Ninja, where do we hide TIPS, commodities, DBA,...So Ninja, where do we hide TIPS, commodities, DBA, PM?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-26266037070566225812008-04-03T01:52:00.000-04:002008-04-03T01:52:00.000-04:00I see where Ninja is coming from on the Fed charts...I see where Ninja is coming from on the Fed charts re: deflation, but I am no longer sure this is the most important factor. <BR/><BR/>Sure, we have a financial sector and real estate sector that will continue to implode with falling asset prices, but this does not guarantee low interest rates / low inflation.<BR/><BR/>As we are seeing in the commodity price increases the dollar may be a more important factor. In turn, the path of the dollar is going to be highly dependent on the willingness of foreign creditors / investors to continue financing our current account deficit via capital inflows. <BR/><BR/>The average maturity of the national debt is approximately 3 years, meaning foreign holders of US treasury securities have taken on very little inflation risk which their investments. As a result if they fail to rollover their US dollar based debt for another 1 - 2 year term when it expires it becomes increasingly likely that US treasury interest rates go higher and dollar plunge continues. This process may be gradual / it may also result in a hard landing.<BR/><BR/>This is why I expect hyperinflation in USA over the next five years instead of a terrible deflation as happened in Japan in 1990s and in USA during the depression.<BR/><BR/>This does not mean the financials aren't great shorts here! I am also trying to participate in this complete collapse.<BR/><BR/>I just wanted to offer my two cents re: inflation / deflation debate as it is very hard to analyze within the vacuum of monetary statistics as other commenters have aptly noted.Ben Greenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00837953118444942690noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-22626225730406288912008-04-02T22:54:00.000-04:002008-04-02T22:54:00.000-04:00tdave:A very good summary. Thanks.One question how...tdave:<BR/><BR/>A very good summary. Thanks.<BR/><BR/>One question however: How do the decreased asset values get reflected in the real economy?<BR/><BR/>I think if you can purchase less and have less purchasing power, and see declining asset values, a person would normally reduce consumption (forced or elective). But how is this captured on a macro level?<BR/><BR/>I will also say that the first chart scares the begeezers out of me!<BR/><BR/>Nice stuff Ninja!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com