tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post6347510647169208574..comments2023-11-26T06:55:42.401-05:00Comments on [ The Financial Ninja ]: Markets Are Now Ominously OversoldBen Bittrolffhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12465978905157927856noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-50693273662062645602009-04-29T02:14:00.000-04:002009-04-29T02:14:00.000-04:00花蓮|花蓮民宿|花蓮|花蓮民宿訂房諮詢服務|花蓮民宿|花蓮旅遊|花蓮民宿|花蓮美食|花蓮旅遊|花蓮黃...<A HREF="http://www.tel038.com.tw/" REL="nofollow">花蓮</A>|<A HREF="http://www.inhl.com.tw/" REL="nofollow">花蓮民宿</A>|<A HREF="http://www.inhl.com.tw/" REL="nofollow">花蓮</A>|<A HREF="http://www.hl998.com.tw/" REL="nofollow">花蓮民宿訂房諮詢服務</A>|<A HREF="http://www.tel038.com.tw/" REL="nofollow">花蓮民宿</A>|<A HREF="http://www.tel038.com.tw/" REL="nofollow">花蓮旅遊</A>|<A HREF="http://example.intc.com.tw/" REL="nofollow">花蓮民宿</A>|<A HREF="http://drliao.intaichung.com.tw/" REL="nofollow">花蓮美食</A>|<A HREF="http://www.inhl.com.tw/" 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HREF="http://www.tel038.com.tw/news_po_table.php?c=1&page=3" REL="nofollow">花蓮旅遊景點</A>|<A HREF="http://drliao.intaichung.com.tw" REL="nofollow">花蓮美食</A>|<A HREF="http://drliao.intaichung.com.tw" REL="nofollow">花蓮餐廳</A>|<A HREF="http://drliao.intaichung.com.tw" REL="nofollow">花蓮小吃</A>|<A HREF="http://drliao.intaichung.com.tw" REL="nofollow">花蓮名產</A>|<A HREF="http://www.pshl.com.tw" REL="nofollow">花蓮縣長</A>|<A HREF="http://www.hualientour.com.tw" REL="nofollow">花蓮租車旅遊網</A>|<A HREF="http://www.hualientour.com.tw/booking2.html" REL="nofollow">花蓮行易旅遊資訊網</A>|花蓮旅遊http://www.inhl.com.twnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-42215256772056465282009-03-05T15:47:00.000-05:002009-03-05T15:47:00.000-05:00Ben,Would you consider today a rinse? Or are we wa...Ben,<BR/><BR/>Would you consider today a rinse? Or are we waiting for something bigger and badder?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-5352470606224623062009-03-05T09:44:00.000-05:002009-03-05T09:44:00.000-05:00Ben, define "final" in your post here....lolThis i...Ben, define "final" in your post here....lol<BR/><BR/>This is not your fathers stock marketAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-47275864349336813412009-03-05T09:33:00.000-05:002009-03-05T09:33:00.000-05:00Ben,Thanks for all your help and excellent writing...Ben,<BR/><BR/>Thanks for all your help and excellent writing. I too am staying short. There are a lot of long only investors who bought into "stocks for the long run." They will only will sell with time and repeatedly lower prices, their selling will, on average with a few bounces from time to time, offset any short covering. <BR/><BR/>SSAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-24321422915193317452009-03-05T09:24:00.000-05:002009-03-05T09:24:00.000-05:00Wall street now the enemy of Main street: main str...Wall street now the enemy of Main street: main street's destruction in Wall Street's profitable interest?<BR/><BR/>http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=aaCZXj5ScUlo&refer=news<BR/><BR/>how is this good for society?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-32121270698528356002009-03-05T09:11:00.000-05:002009-03-05T09:11:00.000-05:00@ SS,Baked in... perhaps. I still think it is less...@ SS,<BR/><BR/>Baked in... perhaps. I still think it is less risky to stay short into Friday (especially after having taken profits along the way) and then wait for the market reaction to the numbers.<BR/><BR/>I am increasingly concerned that we may not make it out of these extremely oversold conditions with a classic bounce. The system is under so much stress, that this time we may actually "crash". (Defined as cascading waterfall of big down days in rapid succession.)Ben Bittrolffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12465978905157927856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-44710681366236426642009-03-05T09:06:00.000-05:002009-03-05T09:06:00.000-05:00@ Anonymous,I use the log scale so I have room on ...@ Anonymous,<BR/><BR/>I use the log scale so I have room on ths chart for comments etc. I'm actually interested in the absolute values.<BR/><BR/>What I'm saying with this chart is that equities are extremely stretched to the downside, so much so that rather than expect a snap back rally (which tended to happen with a200r was a low, but at much higher levels), there is now an increased risk of a sudden "crash".Ben Bittrolffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12465978905157927856noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-67251380992373817272009-03-05T09:03:00.000-05:002009-03-05T09:03:00.000-05:00Ben,While I agree that Friday will be mostly down,...Ben,<BR/><BR/>While I agree that Friday will be mostly down, don't you think at least 800,000 is already baked into the numbers?<BR/><BR/>SSAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-90346820101254065982009-03-05T08:08:00.000-05:002009-03-05T08:08:00.000-05:00ben, you shouldn't be using a log scale on that ch...ben, you shouldn't be using a log scale on that chart, 1-100% isn't log (well not in my book).<BR/><BR/>And, you'd expect a200r to bounce along the bottom in a down trend just as you'd expect it to bounce along the top in an up trend.<BR/><BR/>Basically I think you are reading this wrong. In a down trend you use this chart to find highs in a200r and sell them. <BR/><BR/>When it gets to be an up trend then you can look for the lows and buy them. But not now.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-51929286059780259072009-03-05T07:57:00.000-05:002009-03-05T07:57:00.000-05:00Ben,Correct me if I am wrong, but the last few ter...Ben,<BR/><BR/>Correct me if I am wrong, but the last few terrible employment reports were a catalyst for major market rallies. <BR/><BR/>Also, historically, after taking a severe beating in Q1, markets rally sharply in Q2.<BR/><BR/>Are we heading towards the Mother of all bear market rallies in Q2?<BR/><BR/>Stay tuned...<BR/><BR/>Cheers,<BR/><BR/>LeoLeo Kolivakishttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09223434531795543335noreply@blogger.com