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Livraison Rapide.PaypalAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-59382818259562616152008-11-15T15:53:00.000-05:002008-11-15T15:53:00.000-05:00Inflation = when you have money that are not cover...Inflation = when you have money that are not covering your goods<BR/>Deflation = your goods are exceeding the money supply<BR/><BR/>If a central bank is printing money without a real cover in real economy then what i happening are the following :<BR/>- everybody will pay differentiated this black hole<BR/>- those who have a good backup (sindicates, lobby etc) are winning as always <BR/>- the rest will pay it harder (usualy the average employee by sheer work) - meaning that they will require government assistance (this is like the marriage - in couple you solve the issues that you wouldn't have first place :) - but hey is a cheerfull world :) )<BR/><BR/>If this kind of inflation has added interest which usually has - then the bubble is doubled :)<BR/><BR/>The shit we are going to live in my opinion is like this :<BR/>- the average American stops spending <BR/>- all the major exporters of the world which are based on us clients will bite the dust (as the author said)<BR/><BR/>The future is energy and food industry for most and innovation for the rest (most europeans understood this for 10 years ago).Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14306541657080244743noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-86810901151926473102008-11-15T09:50:00.000-05:002008-11-15T09:50:00.000-05:00as milton friedman and anna schwartz so ably showe...as milton friedman and anna schwartz so ably showed, history says that inflation is always a monetary phenomenon. this is part of my thought process and as such i agree with the analysis here of Berstanky and the merry gangsters, and the inflation likely to follow. but, i am struggling to understand why japan, after 20+ years of zero rates, plus quantitative easing, did not stoke big-time inflation....any thoughts out thereAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-3634727771338588622008-11-12T14:27:00.000-05:002008-11-12T14:27:00.000-05:00Anyone registered on Karls Market Ticker blog? I'm...Anyone registered on Karls Market Ticker blog? I'm not and can't write comment. If someone here is feel free to place this comment for all of us amateurs out here. Karls liquidity trap post today talks of the bid/cover ratio this time being very low at 0.08. People there were asking how this compares to "normal" times. Using the link he provides to the fed, a link to "2008 Monatary Policy Releases" at the bottom of that page takes one to 2008 Fed releases where there are numerous "Fed announces results of auction..." Some with different amounts and times, but a similar one was Oct 21 with ratio of 0.76 vs 0.08 now and bidders then 74 vs 16 now. The earliest shown has Jan 15 has ratio of 1.85 and 56 bidders.<BR/><BR/>Thanks again for great posts, info, and comments from all you knowledgable folks. <BR/><BR/>Brant, Atlanta, GAAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-47971553958563922142008-11-12T13:37:00.000-05:002008-11-12T13:37:00.000-05:00nick perhaps you have highlighted the black swan t...nick perhaps you have highlighted the black swan the very idea that the US created this shitstorm and is seen as benefiting the most will creat the black storm. count on itAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-39222341325294761522008-11-12T13:05:00.000-05:002008-11-12T13:05:00.000-05:00I'm going to say here what I told some co-workers ...I'm going to say here what I told some co-workers today. There are three truths about China:<BR/><BR/>1) Communist governments running planned economies can't pretend to be good capitalists and succeed at it.<BR/><BR/>2) Any economy based on manufacturing inferior goods at low cost to sell to consumer economies on credit is going to fail, and fail hard when a deflationary credit bubble pops. <BR/><BR/>3) The Chinese need to be more concerned about the social fabric of their country right now more than underwriting 8% GDP growth through currency and economic manipulation. When people don't eat, they get desperate and when their government fails them, they become angry. This is a bad combination of factors.<BR/><BR/>The last thing on my list is that I don't trust China to behave rationally when push comes to shove. I believe they will begin dumping treasuries and as a consequence, rates on (especially) the 10 year could rise by 100 to 150 basis points quickly. This would just pour more salt into the credit market wounds and prolong this economic nuclear winter by 2 to 3 years.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1258979445050968882.post-35526905572237144512008-11-12T12:19:00.000-05:002008-11-12T12:19:00.000-05:00Interesting but the guy can't get over the normal ...Interesting but the guy can't get over the normal inflationista hurdles. He's also weird to suggest bailouts are PREVENTING things from being worse.<BR/><BR/>He's also rather down on the Anglo-Saxon economies even though all the current evidence suggests it's EVERYBODY ELSE who's in the biggest trouble.Nick von Miseshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03985951853422897135noreply@blogger.com