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Thursday, July 3, 2008

Coal Gets Smashed

Short post. No time for anything fancy before Non-farm Payrolls…

Coal stocks as represented by the Market Vectors Coal ETF (KOL) got smashed yesterday. When an index drops 10% in a single day off record all time highs on record volume, you can assume a major top has been put in.

It all happened so fast I couldn’t get into the rest of my short position and will have to add on a bounce back just short of $57.00 area. A clean move above $61.00 would make me nervous and would be a clear sign of danger. While I would trade some of the position, the main profit objective is in the $44 - $46 area.


Anonymous said...


Regarding the FNM/FRE call ( ), is FRE's breakdown today below 16 a momentum short opportunity or better to wait until retracement to 19-20? VIX is still floating mid-20's, so a sell-off despite oversold indicators might still be in the cards.

That, plus the GSE's being leveraged to the hilt and your long-term single digit call looks safe.

-Mike J

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